PTLO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PTLO's expansion into new markets could drive revenues higher, supported by increased call option activity indicating positive sentiment.




Bearish Case: Continued high operational costs and mean-reversion patterns could pressure PTLO, compounded by uncertain macroeconomic factors.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. PTLO rises to $15 (30% chance) with expansion successes.
  2. Stabilizes around $13 (50%) due to flat volatility.
  3. Declines to $11 (20%) if costs rise.




Trading Oracle: Given PTLO's mean-reverting behavior and current high implied volatility, implementing a Bullish Short Volatility strategy is ideal. This involves selling ATM put options and buying OOTM puts, profiting from predicted stability around $13 while minimizing downside risk.



March 05, 2025


Portillos Forecast

PTLO        Portillos











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PTLO



UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (0.71)


SBUX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBUX  Starbucks (0.64)


OPCH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPCH  Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (0.62)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.57)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.56)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PTLO



COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COHR  Coherent (0.0)


MNKD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNKD  Mannkind (0.0)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.0)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (0.0)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PTLO



ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (-0.4)


FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (-0.47)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (-0.48)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.5)


MANU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MANU  Manchester United Plc. (-0.56)









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