PUBM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Helium AI forecasts +1.2% price uptick. Recent partnerships (Roblox, Klarna) and Convert platform should drive revenue growth.


Bearish Case: Historical price returns exhibit a high likelihood of underperformance. Continued market headwinds and competitive pressures may persist.


Potential Outcomes: 50% chance - Stable long-term with Convert adoption. 30% chance - Decline from weak ad market. 20% chance - Convertible partnerships boost revenue.


Trading Oracle: Utilize Helium short volatility strategy. Sell 1 $22.5 call, buy 1 $25 call expiring ~63 days out. High market odds of profit (72%). Robust reward:risk ratio with partial risk cover.


July 21, 2024


PubMatic Forecast

PUBM      PubMatic











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PUBM



GTES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTES  Gates Industrial (0.94)


MLM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MLM  Martin Marietta Materials (0.91)


COIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COIN  Coinbase (0.9)


OTIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OTIS  Otis Worldwide (0.9)


EWC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWC  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Canada (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PUBM



AI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AI  C3.ai (0.0)


BEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEN  Franklin Resources (0.01)


BILI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BILI  Bilibili (0.02)


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (-0.02)


IPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IPI  Intrepid Potash (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PUBM



SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.82)


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.83)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.84)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.85)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)





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