PWV Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Given the historical mean-reversion behavior of PWV and rising implied volatility, there is potential for a bullish trend if economic indicators improve. Market sentiment may shift positively, pushing prices towards $60-$62.




Bearish Case: Increased market uncertainty and high implied volatility could lead to greater selling pressure, risking a decline toward $55-$56. A failure to meet earnings expectations could trigger bearish sentiment.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% chance of moderate gains (<10%) driven by positive economic data.

2. 30% chance of slight declines (<5%) if market sentiment wavers.

3. 10% chance of significant downturns (>15%) if uncertainty escalates.




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October 22, 2024


Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco Dynamic Large Cap Value Forecast

PWV        Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco Dynamic Large Cap Value











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Uncorrelated Assets

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M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (0.0)


SJM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SJM  J.M. Smucker (0.0)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PWV



SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.93)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.93)


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SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.95)









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