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RA Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: RA’s mean-reverting tendencies and high yield could attract income investors, especially if economic stabilization or geopolitical easing occurs.



Bearish Case: Persistent geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty could lead to further declines in RA, exacerbated by low investor confidence and volatile markets.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Modest Rebound: 35% - Improvement due to market stabilization.
  • Continued Decline: 40% - Due to economic instability and geopolitical tensions.
  • Stable Prices: 25% - Reflecting mean-reversion.


May 22, 2025


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