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RA Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: RA's historical mean reversion and stable income generation suggest modest price gains, especially as global markets stabilize and real assets appeal for diversification.



Bearish Case: RA remains vulnerable due to economic volatility and high management fees. Historical data and ongoing geopolitical risks imply potential for continued price struggles.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Price Stabilization (50%)
  • Minor Recovery (30%)
  • Continued Decline (20%)
Assessed based on historical tendencies and current market conditions.



Trading Oracle: Implement a cautiously bullish debit spread strategy over 3-6 months. Focus on long volatility to capture mean reversion and protect against downside. Target small upward corrections with a high reward-risk ratio.


February 11, 2025


Brookfield Real Assets Income Forecast

RA        Brookfield Real Assets Income

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RA


RL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RL  Ralph Lauren (0.86)


QQQJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QQQJ  Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 (0.86)


ZG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZG  Zillow (0.84)


PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.84)


DRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRI  Darden Restaurants (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RA


FND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FND  Floor & Decor (-0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (-0.01)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.01)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.02)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RA


DOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOG  ProShares Short Dow30 (-0.75)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.76)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.77)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.77)


AVDL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVDL  Avadel Pharmaceuticals (-0.79)







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