RIO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RIO's strategic investments and growing demand for clean energy metals, like copper and aluminum, align with broader macro trends, promising potential profit growth.




Bearish Case: Operational challenges and regulatory issues, combined with high market volatility, could obscure RIO's earnings potential and lead to decreased stock value.




Potential Outcomes: 50% chance demand for clean energy metals drives RIO upwards. 30% chance operational challenges affect performance. 20% chance unexpected events lead to volatility.




Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying $65 call while selling $67.5 call expiring in 31 days. This strategy harnesses high-edge outlook from positive probability forecast and favorable risk:reward ratio.



February 19, 2025


Rio Tinto Forecast

RIO        Rio Tinto











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BYND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYND  Beyond Meat (0.62)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RIO



ATI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATI  Allegheny (-0.0)


AMCR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMCR  Amcor (0.0)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.0)


KLXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KLXE  KLX Energy Services (-0.01)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RIO



CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (-0.61)


PL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PL  Planet Labs PBC - (-0.61)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.65)


AVXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVXL  Anavex Life Sciences (-0.68)


BKSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKSY  BlackSky Technology (-0.75)









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