Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: ROUS may rally due to economic recovery signs and positive earnings forecasts, with historical data suggesting a likelihood of significant returns over 1-2 years, potentially reaching 20-25%.

Bearish Case: Stagnation or economic downturn fears may suppress ROUS performance, risking flat or modest losses due to increased market volatility and unpredictable policy changes under the new administration.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued economic recovery (40% probability).

2. Stagnation (30% probability).

3. Economic contraction (20% probability).

4. Unexpected geopolitical events impacting markets (10% probability).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread targeting a 20% return over the next 1-2 years, capitalizing on the potential for positive momentum while managing risks associated with economic shifts. This strategy aligns with historical bullish indicators for ROUS.

November 17, 2024