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RSG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RSG's robust sustainability initiatives and consistent historical returns suggest continued growth potential. Key metrics indicate investor confidence.

Bearish Case: Ongoing legal challenges and insider sales may disrupt positive sentiment, damping price appreciation despite strong fundamentals.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of moderate growth driven by sustainability. 25% probability of legal/economic stagnation. 15% chance of heightened investor interest.

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying RSG 230.00 Calls and selling 240.00 Calls expiring in 30 days. Low IV suggests manageable entry costs, and stable returns support high probability of profit. Favor the 230 level due to higher demand in call options, aligning with market direction.

February 19, 2025

Republic Services Forecast

RSG Republic Services

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RSG

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.9)

SAP Sap SE (0.89)

TMUS T-Mobile US (0.89)

TPB Turning Point Brands (0.89)

VIRT Virtu Financial (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RSG

ARKG ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (-0.01)

CRC California Resources (0.01)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (-0.02)

ABR Arbor Realty (-0.02)

ESTC Elastic (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RSG

BYND Beyond Meat (-0.81)

TAN Invesco Solar (-0.83)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)

HUN Huntsman (-0.86)

CSIQ Canadian Solar (-0.88)

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