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RSG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: RSG's strong commitment to sustainability and operational efficiency continues to attract socially conscious investors, potentially driving EPS growth and stock appreciation. Increasing market demand for eco-friendly waste management solutions supports this bullish trend.



Bearish Case: Adverse legal outcomes could significantly harm RSG's reputation and finances, leading to decreased investor confidence and a possible decline in stock price, especially amid fluctuating market conditions.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% chance for sustainable EPS growth due to operational efficiency.

2. 25% likelihood of price decline from negative legal outcomes.

3. 15% chance of increased investor interest from strong sustainability initiatives.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish credit spread by selling the $200 put and buying the $195 put with ~37 days to expiry. This strategy captures premium from low implied volatility and leverages a solid sustainability sentiment, aiming for a 78% probability of profit.


November 19, 2024


Republic Services Forecast

RSG        Republic Services

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Assets that tend to move strongly with RSG


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CLH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLH  Clean Harbors (0.94)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (0.94)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.93)


VNOM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNOM  Viper Energy (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RSG


SIRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIRI  Sirius XM (-0.0)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.0)


CHAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHAU  Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Share Bull 2X Shares (0.01)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (-0.01)


VRDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRDN  Viridian Therapeutics (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RSG


CSIQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CSIQ  Canadian Solar (-0.91)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.91)


VALE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VALE  Vale (-0.92)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.92)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)







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