RVLV Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Revolve's consistent revenue growth, driven by strong brand partnerships and digital expansion, signals robust future prospects. Recent price recovery from last year supports upward momentum.




Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and macroeconomic pressures suggest caution. Competition with larger e-commerce players and volatility could hamper stock performance.




Potential Outcomes: Continued growth in brand appeal (60%); risk of economic downturn impacting spending (30%); flat performance amidst market volatility (10%).




Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish credit spread: sell $35 calls and buy $40 calls for March expiry. Leverage high implied volatility and flat term structure. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward and aligns with anticipated market hesitation.



January 30, 2025


Revolve Forecast

RVLV        Revolve











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