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RVLV Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RVLV's robust brand appeal amidst stable implied volatility and increased call trading volume indicates growth potential as economic conditions stabilize.

Bearish Case: RVLV faces persistent high implied volatility and potential economic downturns impacting discretionary spending, suggesting cautious market sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of stability due to strong brand appeal and celebrity endorsements.
30% chance of decline from economic conditions and high volatility.
10% chance of rally driven by earnings beat or strategic moves.

Trading Oracle: Consider the Bullish Long Volatility strategy. This approach takes advantage of RVLV's strong brand potential and increased call options volume, aligning with a high potential return of 169% which mitigates downside risk in a high volatility environment.

February 28, 2025

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Assets that tend to move strongly with RVLV

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SHAK Shake Shack (0.91)

BLK Blackrock (0.91)

NOW ServiceNow (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RVLV

VERV Verve Therapeutics (-0.01)

STX Seagate Technology (0.01)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (-0.02)

UBER Uber (0.02)

AMT American Tower (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RVLV

DVN Devon Energy (-0.82)

FRO Frontline (-0.82)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.82)

VAL Valaris (-0.86)

HRTX Heron Therapeutics (-0.9)

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