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SABR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential strategic partnerships and travel demand rebound could drive growth despite current volatility. Implied volatility surfaces show room for upward potential in pricing, supported by positive sentiment in call volumes.

Bearish Case: Persistent operational inefficiencies and high implied volatility signal downside risk. Historical price returns and backwardation in term structure suggest ongoing challenges, coupled with low current price levels.

Potential Outcomes: Strategic partnerships drive growth: 40% chance.
Operational setbacks persist: 35% chance.
Market volatility impacts prices: 25% chance.

April 13, 2025

Sabre Forecast

SABR Sabre

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SABR

VIG Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.81)

MTB M & T (0.81)

EWBC East West Bancorp (0.8)

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.8)

OUT Outfront Media (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SABR

QGEN Qiagen (-0.0)

LU Lufax Holding Ltd (-0.02)

DAN Dana (-0.02)

KO Coca-Cola (0.03)

CVX Chevron (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SABR

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.57)

XP XP (-0.57)

VSAT Viasat (-0.59)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.62)

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.64)

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