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SABR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SABR has potential upside due to strategic partnerships and travel rebound, supported by active options market where calls outnumber puts. Stable implied volatility suggests manageable risk.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical underperformance suggest risk, compounded by recent put option activity indicating bearish sentiment and uncertainty about recovery.

Potential Outcomes: Market stabilization with moderate recovery due to partnerships (40%).
Persistent volatility limits gains, keeping prices around $2.53 (35%).
Competitive pressures or operational setbacks trigger declines (25%).

May 11, 2025

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