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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Banco Santander's strategic digital expansion and favorable interest rate environment could enhance profit margins, driving a bullish outlook amidst historical mean reversion tendencies.



Bearish Case: Economic headwinds, particularly in Spain and Brazil, coupled with high implied volatility, suggest downside risks for Banco Santander, inhibiting recovery from chronic underperformance.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30%: Digital success boosts margins.
  • 30%: Economic challenges in Spain dampen growth.
  • 20%: Geopolitical tensions spark volatility.
  • 20%: Successful partnerships enhance revenue.



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April 20, 2025


Banco Santander Forecast

SAN        Banco Santander

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