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SCHG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SCHG's mean-reverting nature and favorable implied volatility backwardation suggest a potential rebound. High call volume indicates bullish sentiment despite recent downturns.

Bearish Case: Persistently high volatility and historical returns indicate underlying investor anxiety. Backwardation and significant recent price drops heighten bearish concerns amidst economic uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes: Rebound near $30 - 45%
Stabilize around $25 - 35%
Decline below $22 - 20%

March 12, 2025

Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth Forecast

SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SCHG

ETR Entergy (0.82)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (0.81)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.73)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.71)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.71)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SCHG

PEP Pepsico (-0.0)

PRAA PRA (0.01)

JAMF Jamf (0.01)

CG Carlyle (0.01)

ARKK ARK Innovation (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SCHG

PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics (-0.71)

CBOE Cboe Global Markets (-0.73)

SO Southern (-0.74)

FFIE Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (-0.84)

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.92)

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