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AI SDS Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: A potential rebound for SDS is plausible, bolstered by upward trends in implied volatility, suggesting increased uncertainty which often leads to market corrections. Recent bullish call volumes indicate renewed investor interest, reflecting positive sentiment.

Bearish Case: SDS may continue to decline if market sentiment turns overwhelmingly bullish, evident in the low put volume and the flat historical price action. A sustained downtrend could emerge, leading to further erosion in SDS price.

Potential Outcomes:

1) 40% chance of a price increase towards $26.00 as volatility peaks.

2) 30% probability of experiencing sideways movement due to mixed market signals.

3) 30% likelihood of a decline towards $22.00 driven by bearish sentiment.

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September 08, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SDS

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (1.0)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (1.0)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (0.99)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (0.95)

MED Medifast (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SDS

WPC W. P. Carey (-0.0)

JD JD.com (-0.0)

CFLT Confluent (-0.0)

UCO ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.01)

GTLS Chart Industries (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SDS

SPLG SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (-1.0)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (-1.0)

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (-1.0)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (-1.0)

IVW BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P 500 Growth (-1.0)

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