SEB Forecast


Bullish Case: The SEB price is positioned near its historical low, suggesting potential for significant upside if market sentiment improves, driven by recovery in underlying fundamentals and operational efficiencies.


Bearish Case: Persistent negative returns, alongside supply chain challenges and mixed sentiment, indicate ongoing weakness, potentially leading to further price decline if no operational improvements are presented.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 30% chance of breakout above $3600 driven by positive operational momentum.

2) 40% likelihood of continued downtrend below $3500 due to market instability.

3) 30% chance of sideways consolidation as sentiment stabilizes.


Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish approach by executing a debit spread, buying calls above $3200 and selling at $3400, anticipating a mid-term rally. Market conditions suggest a potential upside, with lower risk and higher probability of profit.


July 26, 2024


Seaboard Forecast

SEB      Seaboard











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SEB



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.72)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.61)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.53)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.67)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SEB



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.53)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.61)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.67)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.72)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SEB



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.72)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.61)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.53)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.67)





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