SECT Forecast




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: SECT's strong historical returns and a bullish sentiment among investors suggest potential upward movements. High implied volatility increases the chance for significant price swings, signaling opportunity for long positions.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility with recent mean-reverting price action raises concerns about potential corrections. Market sentiment is mixed, and global economic uncertainties could impact SECT negatively.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of consolidation near $55, reflecting current market stability.
  • 30% chance of an upward breakout towards $58 as sector trends strengthen.
  • 30% chance of a pullback to $52 if volatility increases and investor sentiment declines.




Trading Oracle: Utilize a bullish debit spread by buying SECT 56C and selling 52C. Given high implied volatility and a neutral outlook, this strategy captures potential upside while limiting risks. Target a 1-2 month horizon for max gain.



December 21, 2024


Northern Lights Fund Trust IV - Main Sector Rotation Forecast

SECT        Northern Lights Fund Trust IV - Main Sector Rotation











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SECT



SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)


SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.99)


SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.99)


DGRW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRW  WisdomTree Trust - WisdomTree U.S. Quality Dividend Growth (0.98)


TTD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTD  Trade Desk (0.97)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SECT



SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (-0.0)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (0.01)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.02)


UNIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNIT  Uniti (0.02)


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SECT



AMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMN  AMN Healthcare Services (-0.87)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.88)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.88)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.99)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.99)


SECT News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.










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