SFL Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: The upcoming USFL/XFL merger could drive increased visibility and investor sentiment, supporting potential stock appreciation amid stable cash flows from long-term contracts.




Bearish Case: Continued investor skepticism regarding entangled relationships within the company may lead to price stagnation, compounded by recent historical declines.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable dividends with a 70% chance due to strong cash flows.

2. Investor uncertainty could reduce valuation by 30%.

3. Increased implied volatility signaling risk, with a 20% chance of leading to price drops.




Trading Oracle: Consider implementing bull call spreads using options such as the SFL 05/16/2025 12.50 C, taking advantage of current market momentum and upcoming positive developments. Anti-correlate with short puts to manage risk amid high market uncertainty.



November 03, 2024


SFL Forecast

SFL        SFL











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SFL



SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (0.91)


INSW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSW  International Seaways (0.9)


MRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRK  Merck (0.87)


LRCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRCX  Lam Research (0.86)


MRNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRNA  Moderna (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SFL



BAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAC  Bank Of America (0.0)


FHN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FHN  First Horizon (0.0)


RICK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RICK  RCI Hospitality (-0.0)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (0.0)


QQQM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QQQM  Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100 (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SFL



COMM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMM  CommScope (-0.78)


YOU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YOU  Clear Secure (-0.81)


GILD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GILD  Gilead Sciences (-0.81)


XEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XEL  Xcel Energy (-0.81)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.86)









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