SFL Forecast


Bullish Case: SFL's diversified assets, stable dividends, and potential growth from USFL partnership solidify the outlook. Lower implied volatility in the term structure suggests market confidence.


Bearish Case: Persistent investor skepticism due to entangled relationships and historical underperformance could hinder valuation. High short-term volatility spikes indicate near-term risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable growth backed by strong dividend yield (60%).

2. Investor uncertainty leads to stagnation (30%).

3. Decline due to unforeseen market shifts or financial issues (10%).


Trading Oracle: Trade near-term out-of-the-money bull put spreads (e.g. Aug 2024 15 P) leveraging low implied volatility in long outlook. Balance with short-dated ATM calls (e.g. Dec 2024 15 C) capturing dividend stability. Bullish bias. Positive edge, high reward:risk, high probability-of-profit.


July 14, 2024


SFL Forecast

SFL      SFL











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SFL



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.88)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.72)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SFL



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.72)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.77)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.88)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SFL



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.88)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.72)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.77)





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