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SFM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SFM's expansion and differentiation strategies continue to fuel growth, supported by strong consumer loyalty and favorable implied volatility. Higher call volume suggests positive sentiment and potential for price gains.

Bearish Case: SFM faces impending competitive pressures and potential insider selling. High implied volatility and low trading volume signal instability, while recent recalls and price dips may erode investor confidence.

Potential Outcomes: 45% chance: Sales growth from expansion continues.
30% chance: Margin pressure limits upside.
15% chance: Insider activity dampens sentiment.
10% chance: Competitive threats or recalls trigger declines.

March 16, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SFM

CRS Carpenter Technology (0.97)

KNTK Kinetik (0.96)

BCS Barclays (0.96)

GLW Corning (0.96)

VIRT Virtu Financial (0.96)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SFM

ESTC Elastic (0.0)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.01)

UBER Uber (0.01)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (-0.01)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SFM

DVN Devon Energy (-0.92)

XRX Xerox (-0.92)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.92)

COTY Coty (-0.93)

GES Guess (-0.94)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.