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SH Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: SH backwardation suggests elevated near-term volatility, indicating potential for gains. With a 53% bullish risk, demand for call options indicates hedging sentiment favoring upside moves.



Bearish Case: Historical returns show persistent decline, and current volatility indicates potential market calm. High implied volatility does not always translate into price increases, suggesting risk of further declines.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued decrease (45%): Reflects historical trends.
  • Volatility spike (35%): Possible due to economic uncertainty.
  • Minor bullish reversal (20%): Backwardation effect.


May 08, 2025


ProShares Short S&P500 Forecast

SH        ProShares Short S&P500

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O Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   O  Realty Income (0.58)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (0.56)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.5)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SH


IMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMO  Imperial Oil (0.0)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.0)


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.0)


PL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PL  Planet Labs PBC - (0.01)


YINN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YINN  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SH


VAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAC  Marriott Vacations Worldwide (-0.76)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.78)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (-0.78)


DECK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DECK  Deckers Outdoor (-0.83)


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (-0.94)







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