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SHAK Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: The recent partnership with Delta opens new revenue streams and enhances brand visibility. With a solid operational margin and expanding digital initiatives, SHAK is well-positioned for growth in a favorable consumer environment.



Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility highlights market skepticism, driven by child labor law violations and activist investor pressure, which could hinder SHAK's expansion and profitability in the near term.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Engaged Capital successfully implements changes (40%) leading to increased profitability.
  • Regulatory issues stall international expansion (30%).
  • Positive consumer reception to Delta partnership boosts earnings (60%).
  • Continued menu innovation fails to drive sales (25%).



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread: Buy 1 $130 call and sell 1 $135 call expiring in 14 days. This positions for upside based on strong brand performance while limiting downside risk. With a Helium edge of 79% and market odds favoring short volatility strategies, this trade has a high probability of profit.


November 30, 2024


Shake Shack Forecast

SHAK        Shake Shack

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SHAK


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (0.88)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.86)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.84)


CMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMI  Cummins (0.84)


IWP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWP  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHAK


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.0)


GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (-0.0)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.01)


THO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   THO  Thor Industries (0.01)


PSTL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSTL  Postal Realty Trust (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHAK


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (-0.71)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.71)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.71)


RC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RC  Ready (-0.74)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.84)







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