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SHAK Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: SHAK’s partnership with Delta and expansions indicate growth. Implied volatility suggests potential price uptick. Call options traded more, reflecting positive sentiment.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price resistance indicate possible overvaluation. Regulatory pressures and consumer price sensitivity continue to threaten margins.



Potential Outcomes: 60% chance SHAK benefits from Delta partnership; 30% chance regulatory issues slow growth; 10% chance high prices deter customers.



Trading Oracle: Consider short volatility credit spreads given Helium's edge (78%) on bullish short put spreads. Capitalize on flat term structure for premium collection. Short $115 put, long $110 put for 33% annualized return.


January 01, 2025


Shake Shack Forecast

SHAK        Shake Shack

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SHAK


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (0.92)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (0.88)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.86)


TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (0.83)


LYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYV  Live Nation Entertainment (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHAK


BHF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHF  Brighthouse Financial (0.0)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.0)


IAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAC  IAC InterActiveCorp. (-0.01)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (-0.01)


CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHAK


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (-0.67)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (-0.68)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.71)


CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (-0.75)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.84)







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