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SIZE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Institutional interest and positive historical returns over long holding periods hint at potential upside amid stable market conditions.

Bearish Case: Elevated short-term implied volatility and recent mixed sentiment indicate significant uncertainty, with macroeconomic risks potentially leading to downward pressure.

Potential Outcomes: 25% chance of appreciation driven by institutional buy-in and positive earnings.
50% probability of sideways movement amidst market uncertainty and volatility.
25% risk of decline due to global economic pressures and volatility.

July 03, 2025

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI USA Size Factor Forecast

SIZE BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI USA Size Factor

Price Forecast
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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SIZE

HP Helmerich & Payne (0.0)

NUE Nucor (-0.0)

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PAYS PaySign (-0.01)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SIZE

HII Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.48)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.49)

CNC Centene (-0.51)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.88)

SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.96)

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