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SMCI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Continuing AI demand and robust new product developments bolster SMCI's earnings potential, aligned with analyst upgrades and positive sentiment. The market remains optimistic about SMCI's strategic adaptations and revenue growth forecast.

Bearish Case: SMCI faces significant risks from accounting uncertainties, regulator scrutiny, and high valuation concerns. Competitive pressures and market volatility could exacerbate negative price reactions, creating downward momentum.

Potential Outcomes: 60% AI demand continues boosting stock price.
30% Regulatory and valuation concerns trigger correction.
10% External market shocks impact prices unexpectedly.

March 12, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SMCI

STM New York Shares (0.88)

EC Ecopetrol SA (0.86)

DVN Devon Energy (0.86)

GES Guess (0.85)

XRX Xerox (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SMCI

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.0)

RHI Robert Half International (-0.03)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.03)

CRC California Resources (-0.03)

DOMO Domo (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SMCI

IP International Paper (-0.86)

CINF Cincinnati Financial (-0.86)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.87)

MTB M & T (-0.87)

QTWO Q2 (-0.87)

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