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SOR Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The strong likelihood of positive returns in SOR over extended periods, coupled with technological advancements, suggests significant upside potential for long-term investors.



Bearish Case: High market volatility and regulatory uncertainties could negatively impact SOR's performance, risking substantial downturns in a challenging economic environment.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Tech advancements boost prices (+35%, 40% chance)
  • Regulatory impacts cause declines (-30%, 30% chance)
  • Stable market growth (+5%, 20% chance)
  • Economic downturn leads to price drop (-25%, 10% chance)



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread targeting SOR for a 1-2 year horizon, capitalizing on tech innovations. Focus on entry during potential breakout phases, with defined risk limits. Given historical returns, there's substantial upside potential with controlled exposure to volatility.


December 21, 2024


Source Capital Forecast

SOR        Source Capital

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SOR


SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.94)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.94)


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (0.94)


SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.94)


BAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAC  Bank Of America (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SOR


MSGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSGS  Madison Square Garden Sports Corp - (-0.0)


GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (-0.0)


USD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USD  ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (0.0)


ATUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATUS  Altice USA (0.0)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SOR


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (-0.84)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.85)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.86)


AMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMN  AMN Healthcare Services (-0.86)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)


SOR News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.







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