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SPCE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential revenue from Delta-class launches boosts prospects, supported by rising ticket sales. Recent price gains show rebound capacity.

Bearish Case: Continuous financial instability, high implied volatility, and operational delays increase bankruptcy odds. Price remains low with market uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes: Outcomes:

1. Delta success and revenue growth (25%),

2. Bankruptcy by 2026 (34%),

3. Stagnant growth amid competition (41%).

Trading Oracle: Trade bullish debit spreads focusing on near-term expirations. Exploit backwardation and high IV. Target strike prices below $5; capitalize on potential volatility shifts. Manage risk tightly, aiming for 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio.

February 21, 2025

Virgin Galactic Forecast

SPCE Virgin Galactic

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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See Longer Forecasts

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INSG Inseego (0.65)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPCE

DNN Denison Mines (0.0)

WPC W. P. Carey (-0.0)

TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.0)

ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line (-0.0)

BYRN Byrna (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPCE

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.61)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.64)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.68)

NGL NGL Energy Partners (-0.7)

CORN Teucrium Corn (-0.76)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.