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SPCE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Anticipated success of Delta-class spacecraft and expanding space tourism market could propel growth. Rising ticket prices and brand recognition in a nascent industry support optimism.

Bearish Case: Persistent financial instability, high cash burn, and significant bankruptcy risk overshadow potential advancements. Implied volatility and market sentiment suggest caution against investment.

Potential Outcomes: Successful Delta launch (28%): Boosts confidence, attracts capital.
Bankruptcy filing (48%): High cash burn remains problematic.
Competitive acquisition (24%): Offers a potential recovery path.

April 09, 2025

Virgin Galactic Forecast

SPCE Virgin Galactic

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