SPOT Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Spotify’s recent upward momentum and favorable historic returns highlight its strength, especially with a robust user base and market position. This supports continued growth potential.




Bearish Case: Elevated market volatility and competitive pressures pose risks, with potential overvaluation signaling correction possibilities. Aiding this is recent uncertainty in tech stocks and revenue challenges.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of sustained growth driven by market expansion and premium services.
  • 35% risk of competitive pressures affecting market share.
  • 25% chance of volatility causing unexpected fluctuations.




Trading Oracle: Opt for a bearish short volatility strategy; sell the $500 strike put, buy the $480 put, expiring in 14 days. Capitalize on elevated short-term volatility and recent high implied volatility, with high probability of profit and favorable risk-reward ratio.



January 30, 2025


Spotify Technology Forecast

SPOT        Spotify Technology











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