SRRK Forecast


Bullish Case: Encouraging cancer trial data, strong institutional interest, and potential SMA Phase 3 success can drive significant upside.


Bearish Case: High volatility, insider selling, and possible financing challenges could lead to further declines if clinical trials falter.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Phase 3 success (70%) – major price surge.

2) Financing secured (90%) – low stress.

3) Clinical trial failure (~30%) – large downside.


Trading Oracle: Implement a long volatility debit spread, leveraging the high implied volatility (IV). Favor bullish sentiment with a time horizon of 6 months due to impending trial updates and institutional support. This strategy balances risk and rewards by exploiting the anticipated high volatility and potential price surge.


July 16, 2024


Scholar Rock Forecast

SRRK      Scholar Rock











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