STNE Forecast + Trading Strategies

Bullish Case: StoneCo's strong position in Brazil's fintech industry, combined with Helium's higher implied volatility forecast, indicates potential for price appreciation.

Bearish Case: Current flat term structure and economic instability in Brazil present downside risks, as reflected in recent price declines and high implied volatility.

Potential Outcomes: 50% price stability and modest growth, 30% continued decline from economic volatility, 20% sharp move from unexpected events.

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May 21, 2024

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