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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Seagate's strong demand in AI and cloud storage sectors, paired with upcoming HAMR technology, indicates potential for future growth, particularly with a 4% revenue increase last quarter.



Bearish Case: Challenges remain with shifting market dynamics and high competition from newer storage technologies. Market volatility and possible declining demand pose risks to sustained growth.



Potential Outcomes: Seagate's stock could see a 60% upside with cloud demand (35% chance) or a 50% downside amid macroeconomic challenges and technological disruption (25% chance). Stability seen in 15% of scenarios.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying March 21 100 calls and selling March 21 105 calls. With high IV and bullish sentiment, this strategy offers a good risk-reward ratio over the next month.


February 12, 2025


Seagate Technology Forecast

STX        Seagate Technology

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