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STZ Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: STZ’s strong beer segment, especially Modelo, coupled with strategic pricing and premiumization efforts, offsets economic pressures, enhancing growth potential.



Bearish Case: Persistent inflation erodes margins, and immigration policies negatively impact key demographics, challenging sales and growth in core segments.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% Beer segment drives growth due to resilient demand.
  • 35% Inflation pressures margins, causing stagnation.
  • 15% Wine and spirits underperform, limiting upside.
  • 5% Political/regulatory changes introduce volatility.


May 11, 2025


Constellation Brands Forecast

STZ        Constellation Brands

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MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.87)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.85)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to STZ


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.02)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (-0.03)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.04)


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against STZ


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.85)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.87)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (-0.87)


PL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PL  Planet Labs PBC - (-0.87)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.88)







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