STZ Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: STZ’s strong beer segment, especially Modelo, coupled with strategic pricing and premiumization efforts, offsets economic pressures, enhancing growth potential.




Bearish Case: Persistent inflation erodes margins, and immigration policies negatively impact key demographics, challenging sales and growth in core segments.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% Beer segment drives growth due to resilient demand.
  • 35% Inflation pressures margins, causing stagnation.
  • 15% Wine and spirits underperform, limiting upside.
  • 5% Political/regulatory changes introduce volatility.



May 11, 2025


Constellation Brands Forecast

STZ        Constellation Brands











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Uncorrelated Assets

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EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.02)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against STZ



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PL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PL  Planet Labs PBC - (-0.87)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.88)









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