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SURG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SurgePays continues its strong revenue growth of 59%, with institutional support indicating significant long-term upside Helium. Historical return surface shows higher probability of positive returns over extended periods.

Bearish Case: High volatility and liquidity concerns persist due to elevated debt levels and insider selling Helium. Recent market backwardation indicates potential price pressure Helium.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Sustained revenue growth (55%) due to market positioning.

2. Liquidity risk from debt persists (20%).

3. Potential regulatory challenges (15%) affect operations.

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread with SURG 02/21/2025 5.00 C and sell 7.50 C. Target 3-6 months, capitalizing on potential upside as volatility may rise post-earnings. Aligns with long-term growth and institutional support.

January 14, 2025

Surgepays Forecast

SURG Surgepays

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SURG

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.95)

IEP Icahn (0.92)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.9)

XRX Xerox (0.9)

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SURG

PAYC Paycom Software (0.0)

INTU Intuit (0.0)

GTLS Chart Industries (0.0)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.01)

DNN Denison Mines (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SURG

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.9)

MLI Mueller Industries (-0.9)

GLD SPDR Gold Shares (-0.9)

CLH Clean Harbors (-0.9)

PNW Pinnacle West (-0.91)

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