SVC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SVC’s low price-to-book ratio (0.9) suggests it is undervalued, with potential for upside if economic conditions stabilize and strategic initiatives in the real estate sector pay off.




Bearish Case: SVC faces economic headwinds, high historical volatility, and a significant past price decline. Elevated debt levels and economic uncertainties could lead to further downturns.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of flat performance if economic conditions remain uncertain.

2. 30% chance of further decline from increased debt pressure.

3. 20% chance of modest recovery if market sentiment improves.

4. 10% chance of sharp rebound from strategic real estate moves.




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January 08, 2025


Service Properties Forecast

SVC        Service Properties











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SVC



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.93)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (0.93)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.92)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (0.91)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SVC



S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (-0.0)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (-0.01)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (0.01)


FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (0.02)


GEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEL  Genesis Energy (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SVC



FRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRPT  Freshpet (-0.94)


ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (-0.94)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (-0.94)


GVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GVA  Granite Construction (-0.95)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.96)









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