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TAL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: With TAL trading 48.6% higher than two months ago, coupled with increased digital education demand and favorable implied volatility trends, the bullish momentum appears robust.



Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges in China and market saturation pose significant risks. Despite recent price gains, high implied volatility suggests potential instability.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Growth from digital education, capturing market share (60%).
  2. Regulatory pressures hurting growth (30%).
  3. Market competition limiting upside (10%).



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February 16, 2025


TAL Education Forecast

TAL        TAL Education

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TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.66)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.62)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (0.6)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TAL


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.0)


CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (0.0)


SATS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SATS  EchoStar (-0.0)


TSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSAT  Telesat Corp (-0.01)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TAL


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.55)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.55)


FFIE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FFIE  Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (-0.55)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (-0.62)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.69)







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