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TAP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Expanding into non-alcoholic beverages and strong brand loyalty could drive TAP's growth, coupled with bullish sentiment in call options.

Bearish Case: Persistent mean-reverting price action, high competition, and recent sell-offs could limit TAP's upside potential.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of moderate growth from new offerings; 30% chance of market sentiment-led decline; 30% chance of stability due to mixed volatility influences.

Trading Oracle: Adopt a credit spread strategy: sell the TAP 07/18/2025 $65 calls and buy $67.5 calls. This captures premium in a flat volatility scenario, capitalizing on moderate bullish sentiment and mean-reversion possibilities. 6-month outlook.

January 28, 2025

Molson Coors Beverage Forecast

TAP Molson Coors Beverage

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TAP

GPN Global Payments (0.87)

MNST Monster Beverage (0.78)

PATH UiPath (0.74)

LAC Lithium Americas (0.72)

PAYC Paycom Software (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TAP

ARGT Global X Funds - Global X MSCI Argentina (-0.0)

TSN Tyson Foods (0.0)

REG Regency Centers (-0.0)

COLM Columbia Sportswear (0.0)

SAN Banco Santander (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TAP

VNDA Vanda Pharmaceuticals (-0.67)

FSLR First Solar (-0.7)

TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.71)

BLBD Blue Bird (-0.73)

ENVX Enovix (-0.74)

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