TAP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TAP call volume exceeds puts by 64%, indicating bullish sentiment. Expanding alcoholic portfolio further enhances growth prospects.




Bearish Case: Flat implied volatility suggests mean reversion. High debt levels and market saturation continue to pressure TAP downward.




Potential Outcomes: 30% new product boosts TAP 3-5%. 40% market volatility flatlines price. 30% market pressure leads to 5-10% decline.




Trading Oracle: Deploy a credit spread. Sell TAP 06/20/2025 $62.50 calls, buy $65 calls. Flat volatility offers premium income on bullish sentiment. 6-month outlook, high probability of profit.



January 02, 2025


Molson Coors Beverage Forecast

TAP        Molson Coors Beverage











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TAP



LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (0.84)


PATH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PATH  UiPath (0.82)


CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (0.79)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (0.78)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TAP



CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (0.0)


LMND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LMND  Lemonade (-0.01)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.01)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (-0.01)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TAP



MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.7)


LICY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LICY  Li-Cycle Holdings Corp (-0.71)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.71)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.73)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (-0.75)









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