ProShares Trust TBX: Yield Curve Through Lens Of Inflation - Seeking Alpha

News and Politics

In this article, I look at how different segments of the yield curve behave prior to recessions and the likely direction of the curve as the Federal Reserve raises short-term interest rates while reducing bond purchases (quantitative tightening) with high inflation and rising geopolitical risk. An article on Bloomberg, Powell Says Look at Short-Term Treasury Yield Curve for Recession Risk, caught my attention when Federal Reserve Jerome Powell explained:

seekingalpha.com     Apr 11, 2022