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TCMD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TCMD's recent 21.3% price rise and strong call option activity indicate renewed investor confidence, potentially driven by bullish fundamentals and growth prospects in lymphedema treatment.

Bearish Case: High TCMD implied volatility and prior negative trends suggest risk of price instability, compounded by social skepticism and regulatory pressures.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Sustained growth due to product success: 30%.

2. Flat/negative trend from market sentiment: 40%.

3. Regulatory challenges impact: 30%.

Trading Oracle: Consider bullish debit spreads for 60-90 days, leveraging increased call option volume and recovering price trend. Target $15-20 strike calls with favorable risk-reward ratio. Close pre-earnings to avoid volatility shocks.

December 24, 2024

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