TGS Forecast


Bullish Case: TGS exhibits robust growth momentum corroborated by a 236.4% increase over two years. Positive sentiment is bolstered by strategic partnerships and new contracts. The AI volatility forecast indicates lesser risk ahead.


Bearish Case: Given the recent -6.1% monthly decline and the highly mean-reverting nature of TGS's price, there is a potential for continued short-term correction amidst volatility discrepancies.


Potential Outcomes:

1. TGS price reaches $22.5 due to bullish sentiment and strong partnerships (40% chance).

2. Mean reversion continues causing price to stabilize around $15 (30% chance).

3. Market volatility surpasses forecasts leading to sharper corrections (30% chance).


Trading Oracle: Construct a bullish credit spread, leveraging the 8% higher implied volatility. Enter short credit spreads centered around $17.5-$20 strikes to exploit high implied volatilities while limiting risk. Aim for a 1-2 month outlook.


June 27, 2024


Transportadora de Gas del Sur Forecast

TGS      Transportadora de Gas del Sur











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TGS



UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.0)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.0)


ZG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZG  Zillow (-0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TGS



YUMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YUMC  Yum China (-0.85)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.85)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.85)


FWRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FWRD  Forward Air (-0.85)


WTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WTI  W & T Offshore (-0.86)





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