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TK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Teekay benefits from sustained high tanker rates and geopolitical tensions, potentially boosting long-term returns. Historical data shows significant upside when rates are favorable.

Bearish Case: TK's mean-reverting tendencies and high implied volatility suggest potential downside, exacerbated by decreasing oil demand and global economic uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes: High tanker rates persist (60%): +15% upside.
Oil demand declines (25%): -10% downside.
Geopolitical tensions rise (15%): +30% upside.

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May 15, 2025

Teekay Forecast

TK Teekay

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