TNK Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TNK's low P/B of 0.5 and strong historical returns, coupled with significant call option trading (53% more than puts), indicate investor optimism and potential upward price correction.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent 28.5% price drop suggest exacerbated risks from operational inefficiencies and geopolitical tensions, highlighting substantial downside potential.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of stabilization due to current price undervaluation
  • 30% risk of further decline from increased volatility
  • 30% probability of rebounding with strategic initiatives




Trading Oracle: Short volatility strategy by selling 2 TNK $45 call options and buying 3 $50 call options, expiring in ~44 days. Leverage high implied volatility, aiming for 13% potential return with 77% market odds. Suitable for bearish outlook.



January 09, 2025


Teekay Tankers Forecast

TNK        Teekay Tankers











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OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.67)


WEAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WEAT  Teucrium Wheat (0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TNK



UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.01)


BMEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMEA  Biomea Fusion (-0.01)


ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.02)


WRAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRAP  Wrap (-0.02)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TNK



SRRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRRK  Scholar Rock (-0.61)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (-0.62)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (-0.64)


FHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FHI  Federated Hermes (-0.66)


ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (-0.67)









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