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TNK Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: TNK's strong historical returns, low P/B ratio, and strategic asset management suggest potential undervaluation and upside with supportive market conditions and sector profitability.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price declines highlight market uncertainty, with potential further downside amid geopolitical tensions and operational inefficiencies impacting performance.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price stabilization: 40% due to recent flat price action and stable implied volatility.

2. Modest growth: 30% with sector improvements and strategic management.

3. Decline: 30% if geopolitical tensions and operational issues intensify.



Trading Oracle: Opt for bullish short volatility strategy. Sell 1 $40.0 put and buy 3 $35.0 puts, expiring in 37 days. High probability (82%) and favorable risk-reward (21%). Capitalize on low current sentiment and potential for stabilization. Time outlook: short-term. Leverage low correlation to SPY for additional edge.


February 13, 2025


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TNK


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.86)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (0.84)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.81)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.79)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TNK


PI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PI  Impinj (-0.01)


OTIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OTIS  Otis Worldwide (-0.01)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.02)


FREY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FREY  FREYR Battery (-0.02)


ADT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADT  ADT (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TNK


TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (-0.77)


CLPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLPT  ClearPoint Neuro (-0.77)


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (-0.78)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.79)


AXON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXON  Axon Enterprise (-0.79)







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