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TOUR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TOUR shows potential for short-term gains with increased travel demand, evidenced by positive returns in brief holding periods and high implied volatility opportunities.

Bearish Case: TOUR's historical return surface shows negative trends over 1-2 year periods, suggesting potential continued struggles despite volatility.

Potential Outcomes: Moderate gains in coming months (30%). Continued volatility due to macro factors (40%). Operational challenges persist (30%).

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February 18, 2025

Tuniu Corp Forecast

TOUR Tuniu Corp

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TOUR

BEKE KE (0.85)

TIGR UP Fintech (0.76)

BILI Bilibili (0.76)

CRK Comstock Resources (0.69)

POWL Powell Industries (0.68)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TOUR

UBER Uber (-0.0)

PTLO Portillos (0.01)

LU Lufax Holding Ltd (-0.01)

ATRO Astronics (-0.01)

ASAN Asana (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TOUR

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.55)

SAGE Sage Therapeutics (-0.56)

VSAT Viasat (-0.57)

CAL Caleres (-0.57)

RRR Red Rock Resorts (-0.57)

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