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TPB Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TPB's strategic focus on alternative nicotine products and market expansion promises continued revenue growth, supported by the bullish AI forecast (+0.79%).

Bearish Case: TPB faces regulatory challenges and high debt, alongside a significant put-to-call volume discrepancy, indicating potential downside risk.

Potential Outcomes: Continued Growth: 60% – Driven by alternative products and strategic moves.
Regulatory Challenges: 20% – Affecting profitability and stock prices.
Market Correction: 20% – Leading to a price dip due to economic shifts.

Trading Oracle: Consider a Bullish Short Volatility strategy due to high implied volatility and bullish forecast. Selling ATM puts while buying more OOTM puts capitalizes on positive price outlook and manages risk (https://heliumtrades.com/forecast/TPB/premium-printer/put).

March 08, 2025

Turning Point Brands Forecast

TPB Turning Point Brands

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TPB

BCS Barclays (0.96)

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EVRG Evergy (0.96)

SAP Sap SE (0.95)

FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPB

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.0)

UBER Uber (0.01)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.01)

ESTC Elastic (0.01)

VERA Vera Therapeutics (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPB

CNI Canadian National Railway (-0.91)

DOW Dow (-0.91)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.92)

GES Guess (-0.93)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.93)

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