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TPL Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Growing AI data center presence in West Texas and potential commodity price surge drive optimism for TPL's asset value increase.

Bearish Case: High volatility and customer concentration risk, along with recent steep price declines, pose substantial downside threats.

Potential Outcomes: AI data growth driving value (30%).
Volatility increases (40%) impacting short-term returns.
Commodity price stabilization (30%) aiding recovery.

Trading Oracle: Short-term bearish strategy favored; consider credit spreads due to high implied volatilities. Place a call credit spread targeting $1200/$1250 range, expiring in three months to capitalize on potential downward pressure and volatility spikes. Emphasize risk management amid current sentiments.

December 26, 2024

Texas Pacific Land Forecast

TPL Texas Pacific Land

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with TPL

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S Sprint (0.78)

ILMN Illumina (0.72)

DBX Dropbox (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPL

SNDX Syndax Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (0.0)

UTI Universal Technical Institute (-0.0)

SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)

BIIB Biogen (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPL

MU Micron Technology (-0.69)

TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.7)

FANG Diamondback Energy (-0.71)

STAA Staar Surgical (-0.71)

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.78)

TPL News over Time

Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

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Trading Strategies

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Short Volatility

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