TRIP Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TRIP's recent partnerships and strong brand appeal could lead to enhanced user trust and increased engagement, fueling revenue growth.




Bearish Case: High competition, debt concerns, and historical underperformance may continue to hinder TRIP’s financial performance and market share.




Potential Outcomes: TRIP may experience improved revenue due to brand appeal (45% chance), while debt issues and competition pose a risk (55% chance).




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread: buy $16.0 calls and sell $17.0 calls expiring in 45 days. This capitalizes on potential price recovery while managing risk. Helium’s implied volatility advantage increases the odds of profit with a high reward-to-risk.



February 19, 2025


TripAdvisor Forecast

TRIP        TripAdvisor











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TRIP



PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.88)


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (0.88)


TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (0.88)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.88)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TRIP



PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.01)


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.01)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.01)


MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (-0.01)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TRIP



SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.83)


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (-0.83)


XLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLP  Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (-0.84)


CDNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDNA  Caredx (-0.86)


PNW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNW  Pinnacle West (-0.86)









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