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TTD Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: TTD's expansion into CTV with Ventura and strong data management positions it for significant revenue growth, supported by rising political ad spending and robust partnerships. Market sentiment is improving as volatility remains comparatively low in the near term.



Bearish Case: Despite potential growth, TTD faces headwinds from ongoing insider selling and skepticism regarding its new TV OS. High valuations and overall market pressure decrease optimism, reflecting concerns over future earnings stability amid competition.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued revenue growth from CTV and political ads (45% chance).

2. Insider selling and market skepticism about new strategies hinder performance (35% chance).

3. Stock stabilization as market balances growth potential and current uncertainties (20% chance).



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish strategy with a focus on debit spreads, particularly buying $130 calls and selling $135 calls for a March expiry. This leverages the higher implied volatility in the March period, capitalizing on expected price recovery around Ventura’s launch, offering high reward potential with controlled risk.


November 29, 2024


Trade Desk Forecast

TTD        Trade Desk

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TTD


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.97)


SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.97)


SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.97)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (0.97)


FTAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTAI  Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TTD


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.0)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (0.0)


JNJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNJ  Johnson & Johnson (-0.01)


PENN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PENN  Penn National Gaming (-0.01)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TTD


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.91)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.91)


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.91)


AZUL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZUL  Azul (-0.91)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.97)







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