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TTWO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: TTWO's upcoming title launches, particularly GTA VI, are anticipated to drive significant revenue increases, bolstered by strong historical performance and IP strength, suggesting potential buyers may drive stock up.



Bearish Case: Ongoing macroeconomic pressures, such as high interest rates and general market volatility may deter investor confidence, leading to potential short-term weaknesses in TTWO's stock performance.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong GTA VI release boosts stock +50% (30%);

2. Market volatility leads to a drop of -20% (40%);

3. Stability around current pricing due to mixed sentiment (30%).



Trading Oracle: Given the current implied volatility skew with Helium indicating a bullish edge, consider a call debit spread targeting $185/$190 for a 14-day expiry. High volatility forecast favors upside potential; expect a return of 20% with manageable risk.


November 19, 2024


Take-Two Interactive Software Forecast

TTWO        Take-Two Interactive Software

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TTWO


AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.67)


PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.63)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.63)


CLMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLMT  Calumet Specialty Products (0.59)


PENN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PENN  Penn National Gaming (0.58)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TTWO


FUTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUTU  Futu (0.0)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (0.0)


ITA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITA  BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.0)


STX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STX  Seagate Technology (0.0)


DSGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DSGX  Descartes Systems (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TTWO


VLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VLO  Valero Energy (-0.57)


SMCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMCI  Super Micro Computer (-0.57)


HUYA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUYA  HUYA (-0.61)


MPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPC  Marathon Petroleum (-0.62)


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (-0.64)







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