TTWO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TTWO's upcoming releases, notably GTA VI, strong IP, and high call options volume suggest potential upside. Market excitement and historical mean reversion favor positive momentum.




Bearish Case: Macroeconomic uncertainties, recent financial underperformance, and high implied volatility raise concerns. Investor skepticism on strategic execution adds to potential downside pressure.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong game releases lead to stock surge (45%).

2. Market conditions drag prices down (35%).

3. Stability from IP strength holds stock steady (20%).




Trading Oracle: Utilize a call debit spread on TTWO targeting $190/$200 expiring in 30 days. Capitalize on upward volatility skew and positive sentiment from forthcoming game releases, achieving an attractive risk/reward profile and a high probability of profit.



January 30, 2025


Take-Two Interactive Software Forecast

TTWO        Take-Two Interactive Software











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TTWO



WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (0.79)


WIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WIX  Wix.com (0.76)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (0.75)


TSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSAT  Telesat Corp (0.74)


MFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFC  Manulife Financial (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TTWO



XLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLB  Active Trust - Materials Select Sector SPDR (0.0)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.01)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.01)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (0.02)


ATI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATI  Allegheny (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TTWO



WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.69)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.7)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.73)


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (-0.73)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.73)









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