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TU Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Aggressive investments in infrastructure and strategic partnerships could enhance TELUS' market position, potentially driving TU stock upwards. Historical data shows bullish returns for longer holding periods, suggesting significant upside.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates market fears of downside movements, possibly due to economic pressures and competitive challenges in the telecom sector, which could hinder TU's performance.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic recovery boosts demand (30%);

2. Continued competition erosion (40%);

3. Successful strategic initiatives increase market positioning (30%).



Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a bear put spread with TU 15.00 P and 17.50 P strikes, given substantial implied volatility. This strategy takes advantage of current market fears while targeting a window of 1-3 months to capitalize on potential declines.


November 17, 2024


Telus Forecast

TU        Telus

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