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TW Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The flat term structure combined with strong call volume suggests TW has stability and positive sentiment, likely supporting continued growth.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility differences and recent price stagnation indicate potential overvaluation, raising correction risks if bullish momentum falters.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% chance of continued growth due to strong volumes.
  • 30% possibility of a correction from valuation concerns.
  • 25% probability of sideways movement with mixed signals.



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May 13, 2025


Tradeweb Markets Forecast

TW        Tradeweb Markets

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TW


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.89)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (0.83)


FAST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAST  Fastenal (0.82)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.82)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TW


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.01)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (0.01)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (-0.02)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.02)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TW


CDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDW  CDW (-0.78)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (-0.79)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.82)


MEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEG  Montrose Environmental (-0.85)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.85)







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