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Bullish Case: Texas Instruments' extensive funding from the CHIPS Act and strong positions in growing semiconductor sectors support bullish growth prospects, despite market uncertainties.



Bearish Case: Macroeconomic pressures, elevated implied volatility, and concerns over inflation and declining demand may hinder TXN's stock performance, suggesting potential downside risk.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance of sustained growth from CHIPS Act funding driving revenues.

2. 30% chance of macroeconomic pressures negatively impacting profitability.

3. 20% risk of unforeseen supply chain issues affecting operations.



Trading Oracle: Execute a short call spread on TXN, selling the 210.00 strike and buying the 215.00 call for downside protection. This targets near-term stabilization while capitalizing on the market's low volatility in the upcoming weeks, aiming for a potential 25% return.


October 13, 2024


Texas Instruments Forecast

TXN        Texas Instruments

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