UA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Under Armour's potential partnerships and brand innovation could drive a positive shift, supported by historical uptrends over extended holding periods.




Bearish Case: UA's continued struggles due to stiff market competition and declining consumer interest signal ongoing negative return likelihood in the near future.




Potential Outcomes:

1. (35%) Short-term market stabilization.

2. (40%) Continued decline from competitive pressures.

3. (25%) Recovery pivot through strategic partnerships.




Trading Oracle: Adopt a short credit spread strategy targeting July 2025 expiry. High implied volatility allows premium decay profits, leveraging ongoing bearish sentiment and backwardation to increase edge. This ensures high reward-risk and probability of profit.



February 18, 2025


Under Armour Forecast

UA        Under Armour











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