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UAN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: UAN shows potential for bullish growth due to a tight nitrogen market and increasing fertilizer demand, supported by strong recent operational results and rising grain prices heading into the spring.

Bearish Case: Challenging weather conditions and declining net income could suppress UAN prices. Options skew towards downside protection, indicating market caution and uncertainty about sustained demand growth.

Potential Outcomes: Stable prices near $75 (40%) as market adjusts. Potential rise >$90 (30%) if fertilizer demand and pricing improve significantly. Price < $70 (30%) amid supply challenges or economic downturns.

March 12, 2025

CVR Partners Forecast

UAN CVR Partners

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UAN

ARQT Arcutis Biotherapeutics (0.0)

YPF YPF (-0.0)

TXT Textron (0.0)

PAG Penske Automotive (-0.01)

SSRM SSR Mining (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UAN

RARE Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (-0.66)

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PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics (-0.72)

DOC Physicians Realty (-0.75)

YOU Clear Secure (-0.82)

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