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UAN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: UAN shows potential for bullish growth due to a tight nitrogen market and increasing fertilizer demand, supported by strong recent operational results and rising grain prices heading into the spring.

Bearish Case: Challenging weather conditions and declining net income could suppress UAN prices. Options skew towards downside protection, indicating market caution and uncertainty about sustained demand growth.

Potential Outcomes: Stable prices near $75 (40%) as market adjusts. Potential rise >$90 (30%) if fertilizer demand and pricing improve significantly. Price < $70 (30%) amid supply challenges or economic downturns.

March 12, 2025

CVR Partners Forecast

UAN CVR Partners

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UAN

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YPF YPF (-0.0)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UAN

AMT American Tower (-0.66)

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VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.72)

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.72)

PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics (-0.72)

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