UHT Forecast


Bullish Case: UHT has shown mean-reverting behavior with a potential for rebound as market volatility decreases. Insiders recently purchased shares at favorable prices, supporting investor confidence. A stable macroeconomic environment could catalyze upward price movement.


Bearish Case: UHT's high debt-to-equity ratio and historical negative returns underscore significant risks. Persistently high implied volatility and macroeconomic pressures may aggravate downward trends, potentially leading to further declines in price performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Upward movement (+5%) in six months (30%).

2. Continued decline (-10%) due to economic pressures (40%).

3. Flat performance with minor fluctuations (30%).


Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish strategy using debit spreads with UHT 09/20/2024 45.00 Calls to benefit from expected mean reversion. Target a price range of $44-$50, aiming for a significant profit as stability returns. Time horizon: short to medium-term (1-3 months).


July 25, 2024


Universal Health Realty Income Forecast

UHT      Universal Health Realty Income











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UHT



AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.93)


CSIQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CSIQ  Canadian Solar (0.93)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (0.93)


BMBL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMBL  Bumble (0.93)


NEOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEOG  Neogen (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UHT



UVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVV  Universal (0.0)


DHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHR  Danaher (-0.0)


AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKAM  Akamai (-0.0)


ABT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABT  Abbott Laboratories (0.01)


OLN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLN  Olin (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UHT



FTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTI  TechnipFMC (-0.86)


PGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGR  Progressive (-0.86)


LBRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LBRT  Liberty Oilfield Services (-0.87)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.88)


YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCS  ProShares UltraShort Yen (-0.89)





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